Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles preview, prediction: in writing

A breakdown that is statistical of Lions’ Week 3 matchup essay outline samples.

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The Detroit Lions therefore the Philadelphia Eagles are as close to 2-0 because they are to 0-2. Both teams discovered themselves trailing in every one of their first couple of games, and both been employed by their option to perhaps the rating. When it comes to Eagles, their heroic comeback on Sunday evening had been ruined by a big protective gaffe in the last couple of minutes. Meanwhile, the Lions’ blew a lead that is 18-point the Cardinals and might just muster a tie after that.

Both groups have work to do in order to eclipse the existing undefeated groups atop their respective divisions, but both undoubtedly desire to be within the playoff competition come December. Which means this video game could truly possess some serious implications for tiebreakers—assuming, into the Lions situation, that another playoff contender has a tie.

So who’s the bonus on Sunday? Let’s look at the matchup. In Writing.

Lions pass offense (22nd in DVOA in 2018) vs. Eagles pass protection (fifteenth)

This year’s DVOA: Lions (8th) vs. Eagles (23rd)

This is our week that is final that take 2018 data into consideration. A year ago, the Lions moving offense began strong, but following the trade of Golden Tate additionally the problems for Marvin Jones, things quickly dropped aside.

This present year, things turn to be brighter for Matthew Stafford and business, specially under brand brand brand new coordinator that is offensive Bevell. Stafford happens to be particularly great at play action:

One big component of the #Lions moving game? The play-action pass. Matthew Stafford is 16-of-21 off play fakes up to now this through two games year. Be prepared to see a lot more than a number of most of these playcalls from #OnePride on Sunday. It is a part that is big of they are doing. #DETvsPHI

The Lions are proficient at distributing the ball around, too. Six players that are different at minimum four catches through two games and four various receivers have actually touchdowns. In contrast, zero Bears players have actually caught a touchdown (sorry, couldn’t assist myself.)

Presently, the Lions rank 10th in passer score (102.6), t-eighth in yards per effort (8.4) and tend to be 17th in conclusion percentage (65.3). They’ve been especially great at getting amount plays through the atmosphere, with 11 plays for 20+ yards (t-third) and now have just permitted three sacks (t-eighth).

A year ago, the Eagles pass protection had been pretty normal, though they recovered quite nicely into the last half associated with season—a pattern which will emerge using this 2018 Eagles group.

This season, they’re down to a different sluggish begin. Though they created several turnovers a week ago up against the Falcons, the remainder natural information must certanly be somewhat unsettling for Eagles fans. They’re presently twentieth passer rating permitted (98.8), t-21st in yards per effort (8.0) and sixteenth in conclusion portion (65.5).

The eagles have only managed two sacks on the years, but they’re still very much capable of creating pressure despite Jim Schwartz’s aggressive defense.

Golladay had their breakout game of the season week that is last a extremely skilled cornerback in Casey Hayward Jr. An eight-catch, 117-yard performance is impressive, but doing it against an excellent young part is an entire level that is different. Ronald Darby, too, can be a corner that is impressive but he’s down to a horrible begin to 2019. Will it be merely a sluggish begin or is Darby still experiencing the consequences of their torn ACL from 2018? Time will tell.

Advantage: Lions +1.5

Protection is likely to be key right right right here, as Brandon Graham is another player which could influence this matchup heavily. We’re nevertheless uncertain who will undoubtedly be playing remaining tackle this week as Taylor Decker remains restricted in training. The other day, their replacement, Tyrell Crosby, did an excellent work in security, in addition to Lions unpleasant line, overall, rebounded in a huge means.

To date, Bevell has appeared the component as a fantastic coordinator that is offensive in addition to Lions’ passing game appears revitalized. Going against a beat-up, mediocre-at-best Philly secondary, We have medium confidence the Lions should win this matchup.

Lions run offense (25th) vs. Eagles operate protection (9th)

This year’s DVOA: Lions (28th) vs. Eagles (2nd)

The Lions happen operating the ball a complete great deal, but they’ve been anything but efficient with those runs—and that fits precisely what we saw when it comes to a lot of the 2018 season. The Lions are frantically shuffling their backfield as a result. They’ve currently cut veteran C.J. Anderson (16 carries, 43 yards) and included J.D. McKissic and Paul Perkins considering that the roster that is initial set.

The Lions’ inside offensive linemen appear become doing their task acceptably, but Detroit has actually struggled to block regarding the sides, and therefore includes rough play from their newly-transformed end room that is tight. We could finally see Kerryon Johnson perform at the levels he did last year, but so far it has been slim pickings if they can fall in line.

Detroit is averaging simply 3.5 yards per carry (t-25th) and it is presently earning downs that are first a measly 18.3 per cent of carries (24th). The Lions are certainly one of 12 groups without having a rush of 20+ yards.

The Eagles operate protection had been an unit that is top-10 12 months, and so they can be better yet this season. They’re currently fourth in yards per carry allowed (2.8), 3rd in yards permitted (85) and very very first in first down percentage (10.0%).

The only explanation to doubt this unit may be the present lack of protective tackle Timmy Jernigan. With the loss in Malik Jackson to IR, the Eagles are down seriously to their 4th sequence protective tackle.

Nevertheless the Eagles continue to have.

Player to look at: Fletcher Cox.

While Cox is many known for their ability and quickness to hurry the passer, he’s no slouch as a run defender, either. The exact same really can be stated for Brandon Graham, too. That protective front side is nevertheless really beneficial to Philly, despite having the accidents.

Advantage: Eagles +2.5.

There is certainly some small hope that the Lions could possibly get right straight straight back on the right track this week. It truly appears like for each run they’re merely an inches that are few from breaking away a large one. Also, the problems for Jernigan will impact the game certainly.

Nevertheless, the overwhelming number of analytical proof points for this being a matchup greatly into the benefit for the Eagles. That won’t stop the Lions from wanting to run the ball, but i’dn’t expect this to function as that Kerryon Johnson breaks out week.

Eagles pass offense (11th) vs. Lions pass protection (31st)

This year’s DVOA: Eagles (10th) vs. Lions (10th)

The eagles had no problem throwing on fools last year whether it was Carson Wentz or Nick Foles. This current year, it seems to be much more of the identical, although a week ago had been truly a data point that is interesting.

The eagles had to deal with sudden injuries to DeSean Jackson, Dallas Goedert and Alshon Jeffery, severely altering their game plan against the Falcons on one hand. They plainly played far better when you look at the half that is second the very first.

Having said that, Wentz made some terrible errors at the beginning of that game, additionally the Eagles’ pass protection seemed extremely shaky against an admittedly impressive atlanta front side.

The Eagles will definitely be shorthanded using their offensive tools this week—with their top two receivers likely for it this time out—but they will have had a full week to prepare.

Detroit’s offseason want to turn around their pass defense seemingly have worked to date. Though on occasion the Cardinals and Chargers appeared to be in a position to pick apart the additional, when it comes to many component, the Lions have won those matchups.

As a result of play that is solid No. 2 cornerback Rashaan Melvin (he leads the league with five pass breakups) and some dazzling performs through the Lions’ playmakers (Darius Slay, Tracy Walker), the Lions pass protection currently ranks eighth in passer score allowed (74.4), 13th in yards per effort (6.7) and t-fourth in conclusion portion allowed (55.6).